全球紧张局势下中拉贸易与投资需要升级及多元化*Sion-Latin American Trade and Investment amid Global Tensions: A Need to Upgrade and Diversify

内容提要：自2000年以来，中拉贸易增长了18倍。2005—2016年，中国在该地区的投资接近900亿美元。在全球贸易摩擦的背景下，中拉双方均有强烈的愿望去探索新的选择以升级、多元化和加深双边贸易投资关系，这不仅是为了应对风险，也是为了利用新的机遇加强经济合作。鉴于两国的要素禀赋，当前的贸易投资模式将持续。然而，政策和投资可以在经济活动的其他领域发挥先锋作用，为拉美增加出口价值、实现贸易多样化和现代化、促进包容性增长和刺激生产力发展开辟新的前景。考虑到太平洋两岸的需求动态和现有能力，有三个领域的商业机会脱颖而出：促进加工农产品和食品的贸易；扩大服务贸易，特别是旅游业；利用中国的先进技术、数字平台和资金促进电子商务发展。中国也将获得更紧密和更平衡的贸易伙伴关系所带来的好处，如产品、市场和企业的多样化，服务贸易的新机会以及电子商务一体化的加强。

Abstract:Trade between Latin America and China has multiplied 18 times since 2000Between 2005 and 2016,China invested close to $90 billion in the regionIn the globalized context of trade confrontations,there is a strong motivation for Latin America and China to explore fresh options to upgrade,diversify and deepen their trade and investment relationship,not only to manage peril,but also to leverage new opportunities and strengthen economic cooperationGiven factor endowments on both sides of the relationship,current patterns are expected to continue anchoring Sino-Latin American trade and investment in the futurePolicy actions and investments,however,could spearhead other areas of economic activity that would open new prospects for Latin America to add value,diversify and modernize trade,foster inclusiveness,and spur productivityThree areas of business opportunity stand out,all of which leverage demand dynamics and existing capabilities on either side of the Pacific:facilitating commerce in processed agricultural and food products;expanding trade in services,particularly tourism;and leveraging Chinese advanced technologies,digital platforms and capital to foster e-commerceThe benefits of a richer and more balanced relationship would accrue for China as well,with greater diversification of products,markets,and firms,new opportunities for services trade,and increased e-commerce integration

贸易战 贸易投资 商业机会 贸易伙伴关系

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